← Serie A 2003-04 · Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 80% | 1.10 |
| Draw | 14% | 6.50 |
| Ancona win | 6% | 15.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 671.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1660.90 | 1373.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.63 | -13.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.00 |
| league points | 52.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| state index | 1.23 | -1.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |