← Serie A 2003-04 · Sun, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Roma win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Modena win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1753.00 | 2483.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1501.87 | 1771.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.67 | 2.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 2.12 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| league points | 27.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 2.25 |
| state index | -0.59 | 1.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |