← Serie A 2003-04 · Sun, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| Modena win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1739.00 | 885.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1492.48 | 1798.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.77 | 33.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 25.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 2.52 |
| state index | -0.68 | 2.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |