← Serie A 2003-04 · Sun, Mar 28, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SS Lazio win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Perugia win | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | SS Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1366.00 | 697.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1509.52 | 1670.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.37 | -21.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 22.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 2.96 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.64 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |