← Serie A 2003-04 · Sun, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Reggina win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1725.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1508.02 | 1512.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.53 | -9.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| league points | 25.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |