← Serie A 2003-04 · Sun, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Brescia win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 622.00 | 257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1640.35 | 1572.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.91 | 2.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 40.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.13 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |