← Serie A 2003-04 · Sat, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 34% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1710.00 | 614.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1504.33 | 1642.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.39 | -19.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 23.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.70 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |