β Primera Division 2004-05 Β· Sun, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club win | 66% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Numancia win | 11% | 8.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Athletic Club | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 691.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1600.47 | 1443.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.33 | -27.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| league points | 51.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 0.69 |
| state index | 0.47 | -1.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |