← Primera Division 2003-04 · Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 48% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Murcia win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Murcia | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 275.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1435.88 | 1480.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.45 | -30.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 20.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.59 | 1.09 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.82 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |