← Primera Division 2003-04 · Sun, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal CF win | 63% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| Murcia win | 13% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Villarreal CF | Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1729.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1515.38 | 1442.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.15 | -12.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 44.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.61 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.84 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |