← Primera Division 2003-04 · Sun, Mar 28, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal CF win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Villarreal CF | Club Atlético de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1701.00 | 1732.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1510.26 | 1566.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.00 | 7.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 39.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 7.96 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.52 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |