← Primera Division 2003-04 · Sat, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid CF win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Athletic Club win | 30% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Athletic Club | Real Madrid CF |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 263.00 | 263.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1563.42 | 1736.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.06 | -2.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 41.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 2.18 |
| state index | -0.08 | 1.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |