← Scottish Premiership 2004-05 · Wed, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: W Young
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Motherwell win | 33% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunfermline | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| coach days | — | 3897.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.80 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1444.73 | 1489.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.09 | -6.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| league points | 24.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.80 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |