← Scottish Premiership 2003-04 · Sun, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I Brines
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts win | 56% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Motherwell win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hearts | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| coach days | — | 3607.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1634.07 | 1457.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.03 | -4.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 65.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 7.60 |
| state index | 1.00 | -0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |