← Scottish Premiership 2003-04 · Sat, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| Dunfermline win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hearts | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.34 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1612.62 | 1522.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.13 | 17.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 59.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 7.60 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |