← Scottish Premiership 2003-04 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Underhill
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Motherwell win | 28% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunfermline | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| coach days | — | 3585.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1489.73 | 1479.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.08 | 18.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 47.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 9.40 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |