← Scottish Premiership 2003-04 · Sun, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M McCurry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Kilmarnock win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kilmarnock | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1441.09 | 1603.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.37 | 15.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 27.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.20 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.61 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |