← Scottish Premiership 2003-04 · Sat, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D McDonald
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Kilmarnock win | 28% | 3.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Motherwell | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 3522.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1421.25 | 1436.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.25 | -15.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 27.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.20 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.82 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |