← Scottish Premiership 2003-04 · Sat, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A Freeland
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Livingston win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livingston | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 3515.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 3.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1449.61 | 1433.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.20 | 25.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.76 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 26.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.40 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |