← Scottish Premiership 2003-04 · Sat, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D MacDonald
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Motherwell win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunfermline | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| coach days | — | 3494.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1509.36 | 1424.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.09 | 4.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 31.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 8.40 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |