← Scottish Premiership 2002-03 · Sat, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D McDonald
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Hearts win | 34% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 23 | Fouls | 23 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kilmarnock | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1541.25 | 1584.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.27 | 25.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 53.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.00 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |