← Scottish Premiership 2002-03 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A Freeland
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts win | 39% | 2.38 |
| Livingston win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livingston | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1462.16 | 1558.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.07 | 38.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 27.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.20 |
| state index | -0.54 | 1.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |