← Scottish Premiership 2002-03 · Sat, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Michael McCurry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts win | 57% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.50 |
| Motherwell win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hearts | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| coach days | — | 3165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1554.02 | 1408.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.66 | 7.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 46.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.40 |
| state index | 0.91 | -0.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |