← Scottish Premiership 2002-03 · Wed, Feb 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D Somers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline win | 38% | 2.38 |
| Motherwell win | 34% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Motherwell | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 3155.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 3.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1397.90 | 1494.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.57 | -1.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 21.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.40 |
| state index | -0.57 | -0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |