β Scottish Premiership 2002-03 Β· Sat, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D McDonald
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Dunfermline win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 14 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hearts | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 3.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1530.54 | 1493.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.72 | -9.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 40.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.40 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |