← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Leyton Orient win | 31% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Shrewsbury −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Daniel Adu-Adjei · Leyton Orient |
| 24' | ⚽ | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 51' | ⚽ | Daniel Agyei · Leyton Orient |
| 75' | ⚽ | Daniel Udoh · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 117.00 | 788.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 4.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1361.75 | 1451.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.70 | -26.10 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 48.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.10 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.97 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.43 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |