← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Reading win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading +0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Blackpool +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Karamoko Dembélé · Blackpool |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 68' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 71' | ⚽ | Femi Azeez · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jayden Wareham · Reading |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 331.00 | 362.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1469.96 | 1531.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.43 | 21.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.81 |
| league points | 56.00 | 73.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 31.41 | — |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 299.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |