← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 46% | 2.20 |
| Peterboro win | 31% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton +0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Peterboro +0.25 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.43 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Kyle Dempsey · Bolton |
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Dion Charles · Bolton |
| 50' | ⚽ | Malik Mothersille · Peterboro |
| 58' | 🟨 | Josh Dacres-Cogley · Bolton |
| 61' | 🟨 | George Thomason · Bolton |
| 67' | ⚽ | Joel Randall · Peterboro |
| 73' | 🟨 | Eoin Toal · Bolton |
| 79' | ⚽ | Malik Mothersille · Peterboro |
| 82' | ⚽ | Cameron Jerome · Bolton |
| 87' | 🟨 | Joel Randall · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 482.00 | 1396.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1545.70 | 1593.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.01 | 14.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | 1.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| league points | 83.00 | 86.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 64.00 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 19.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.97 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.50 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |