← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: O. Yates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 68% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.04 |
| Northampton win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −1.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Northampton −1.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Herbie Kane · Barnsley |
| 21' | 🟨 | Maël de Gevigney · Barnsley |
| 43' | 🟨 | Corey O'Keeffe · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Herbie Kane · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Shaun McWilliams · Northampton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Louis Appéré · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 26.00 | 1181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1521.61 | 1425.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.82 | -20.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| league points | 75.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |