← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Carlisle win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle +0.5 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Wycombe +0.5 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Harrison Neal · Carlisle |
| 15' | ⚽ | Garath McCleary · Wycombe |
| 28' | ⚽ | Alfie McCalmont · Carlisle |
| 45' | 🟨 | Freddie Potts · Wycombe |
| 49' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · Wycombe |
| 66' | 🟨 | Anton Dudik · Carlisle |
| 75' | ⚽ | Garath McCleary · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Brunton Park |
| coach days | 809.00 | 444.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1296.39 | 1499.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.56 | 11.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 30.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 61.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 0.68 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.96 | -1.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |