← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Apr 16, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: P. Howard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Barnsley win | 28% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Barnsley −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Devante Cole · Barnsley |
| 9' | ⚽ | Kusini Yengi · Portsmouth |
| 59' | ⚽ | John McAtee · Barnsley |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lee Evans · Portsmouth |
| 75' | 🟨 | Maël de Gevigney · Barnsley |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 89' | ⚽ | Conor Shaughnessy · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 471.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1627.35 | 1536.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.65 | -40.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.64 |
| league points | 91.00 | 75.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 62.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.62 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |