← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Apr 16, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 63% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.84 |
| Fleetwood Town win | 17% | 5.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town −1.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Peterboro −1.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.43 |
| Under | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | — · Fleetwood Town |
| 17' | ⚽ | Malik Mothersille · Peterboro |
| 81' | ⚽ | Archie Collins · Peterboro |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Peterboro |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 471.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 4.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1549.13 | 1375.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.26 | -9.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| league points | 77.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.57 | -1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | -1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |