← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Apr 16, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 69% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.23 |
| Shrewsbury win | 12% | 8.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton −1.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Shrewsbury −1.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Daniel Udoh · Shrewsbury |
| 40' | 🟨 | Marko Maroši · Shrewsbury |
| 40' | ⚽ | Cameron Jerome · Bolton |
| 43' | ⚽ | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
| 71' | ⚽ | Edmond-Paris Maghoma · Bolton |
| 85' | 🟨 | Elliott Bennett · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 25 | Shots | 8 |
| 13 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 4 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 1385.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1597.22 | 1350.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.94 | -6.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| league points | 82.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 62.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 37.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -2.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -1.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |