← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Woods
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Wycombe win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Wycombe +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 67' | 🟥 | Tom Flanagan · Shrewsbury |
| 70' | 🟨 | Carl Winchester · Shrewsbury |
| 83' | ⚽ | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 103.00 | 437.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.16 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1362.75 | 1480.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.50 | 12.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | -1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.78 |
| league points | 46.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 62.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.00 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.36 | -1.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.80 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.87 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |