← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Oxford win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Peterboro +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Mark Harris · Oxford |
| 31' | ⚽ | Josh Murphy · Oxford |
| 38' | ⚽ | Rúben Rodrigues · Oxford |
| 58' | ⚽ | Rúben Rodrigues · Oxford |
| 89' | ⚽ | Billy Bodin · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 5 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 164.00 | 468.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1507.06 | 1569.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.83 | -14.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 70.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 63.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 1.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |