← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Coy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Wigan win | 18% | 5.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Wigan −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Jonny Smith · Wigan |
| 27' | 🟨 | Charlie Hughes · Wigan |
| 40' | ⚽ | Daniel Mandroiu · Lincoln |
| 41' | 🟨 | Matthew Smith · Wigan |
| 43' | 🟨 | Paudie O’Connor · Lincoln |
| 50' | 🟨 | Ben House · Lincoln |
| 51' | 🟨 | Reeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alex Mitchell · Lincoln |
| 71' | 🟨 | Martial Godo · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jovon Makama · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sean Roughan · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Magennis · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | Steven Sessegnon · Wigan |
| 90' | ⚽ | Charlie Hughes · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lincoln | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | LNER Stadium |
| coach days | 164.00 | 468.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1559.39 | 1460.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.16 | -15.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.76 |
| league points | 68.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 27.40 |
| state index | 0.84 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | 1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |