← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Northampton win | 26% | 3.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Fleetwood Town −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Promise Omochere · Fleetwood Town |
| 17' | 🟨 | Aaron McGowan · Northampton |
| 30' | ⚽ | — · Fleetwood Town |
| 65' | 🟨 | Danny Mayor · Fleetwood Town |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ryan Broom · Fleetwood Town |
| 80' | 🟨 | Kieron Bowie · Northampton |
| 84' | 🟨 | Bosun Lawal · Fleetwood Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fleetwood Town | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Highbury Stadium |
| coach days | 134.00 | 1167.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.38 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1359.03 | 1452.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.16 | 9.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 34.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 64.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | -1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -1.02 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |