← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 54% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.17 |
| Reading win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Barnsley −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 29' | ⚽ | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 64' | 🟨 | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 81' | ⚽ | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 83' | ⚽ | Fabio Jaló · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 22 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 12.00 | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1539.34 | 1478.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.76 | 23.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| league points | 74.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 31.41 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |