← EFL League One 2023-24 · Wed, Apr 10, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 67% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.92 |
| Port Vale win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −1.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Port Vale −1.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Funso Ojo · Port Vale |
| 45' | 🟨 | Josh Knight · Peterboro |
| 45' | ⚽ | Joel Randall · Peterboro |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Harrison Burrows · Peterboro |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jason Lowe · Port Vale |
| 85' | 🟨 | Uche Ikpeazu · Port Vale |
| 86' | ⚽ (og) | Alex Iacovitti · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 3 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 465.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1563.72 | 1333.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.39 | 15.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 74.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 9.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 0.98 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.36 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |