← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Apr 9, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Swabey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Wigan win | 26% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan −0.5 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Charlton −0.5 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ (og) | Charlie Hughes · Charlton |
| 21' | 🟨 | Michael Hector · Charlton |
| 55' | 🟨 | George Dobson · Charlton |
| 62' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Wigan |
| 66' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Wigan |
| 79' | ⚽ | Chuks Aneke · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Callum McManaman · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 68.00 | 464.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1466.72 | 1458.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.65 | -25.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 50.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 27.40 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 1.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 292.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |