← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Apr 9, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Edwards
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Fleetwood Town win | 20% | 5.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Blackpool −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Jake Beesley · Blackpool |
| 68' | 🟨 | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu · Fleetwood Town |
| 77' | 🟨 | Hayden Coulson · Blackpool |
| 82' | 🟨 | Shayne Lavery · Blackpool |
| 82' | 🟨 | Bosun Lawal · Fleetwood Town |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jay Lynch · Fleetwood Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 15 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 5 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 344.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 4.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1512.49 | 1363.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.20 | -17.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.67 |
| league points | 64.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 8.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |