← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| Shrewsbury win | 12% | 8.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury −1.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Portsmouth −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ (og) | Chey Dunkley · Portsmouth |
| 29' | ⚽ | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
| 35' | 🟨 | Zak Swanson · Portsmouth |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Malvind Benning · Shrewsbury |
| 50' | 🟨 | Elliott Bennett · Shrewsbury |
| 77' | ⚽ | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 79' | 🟨 | Owen Moxon · Portsmouth |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tom Flanagan · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 461.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 3.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1622.23 | 1366.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.44 | 1.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -1.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| league points | 87.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 58.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 36.60 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -2.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.78 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | -1.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |