← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Mather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Cheltenham win | 26% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cheltenham −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 35' | 🟨 | Lewis Freestone · Cheltenham |
| 44' | ⚽ | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jordan Brown · Leyton Orient |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 85' | ⚽ | Ruel Sotiriou · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joe Nuttall · Cheltenham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Gaughan Group Stadium |
| coach days | 767.00 | 675.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.85 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1468.50 | 1385.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.41 | -14.81 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 58.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 58.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | -2.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |