← EFL League One 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Jackson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
| Fleetwood Town win | 19% | 5.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Fleetwood Town −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 30' | ⚽ | Mark Harris · Oxford |
| 35' | 🟨 | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu · Fleetwood Town |
| 43' | ⚽ | Owen Dale · Oxford |
| 48' | 🟨 | Bosun Lawal · Fleetwood Town |
| 83' | ⚽ | Mark Harris · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 12 |
| 13 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 152.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 4.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1481.76 | 1373.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.14 | 10.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 64.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |