← EFL League One 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Mather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Wigan win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Wigan +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Gassan Ahadme · Cambridge |
| 31' | 🟨 | Liam Shaw · Wigan |
| 33' | 🟨 | Ryan Bennett · Cambridge |
| 45' | 🟨 | Scott Smith · Wigan |
| 57' | ⚽ | Gassan Ahadme · Cambridge |
| 59' | 🟨 | William Mannion · Cambridge |
| 65' | ⚽ | Martial Godo · Wigan |
| 83' | ⚽ | Danny Andrew · Cambridge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Cledara Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 31.00 | 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1372.24 | 1480.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.35 | -13.20 |
| eye test v1 | -1.24 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 42.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 59.80 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.84 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 27.40 |
| state index | -1.04 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | 1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |