← EFL League One 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Coy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 49% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Burton win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burton +0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Barnsley +0.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Joe Powell · Burton |
| 54' | ⚽ | John McAtee · Barnsley |
| 64' | ⚽ | John McAtee · Barnsley |
| 69' | ⚽ | Luca Connell · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days | 91.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1370.91 | 1551.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.43 | -57.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 40.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.40 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.26 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | -1.26 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.28 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |