← EFL League One 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.50 |
| Reading win | 16% | 6.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Reading −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.64 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Aaron Collins · Bolton |
| 16' | 🟨 | Nathanael Ogbeta · Bolton |
| 40' | ⚽ | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Aaron Collins · Bolton |
| 49' | ⚽ | Jón Daði Böðvarsson · Bolton |
| 53' | 🟨 | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 77' | ⚽ | Aaron Collins · Bolton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Paul Omo Mukairu · Reading |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jón Daði Böðvarsson · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 1370.00 | 305.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1579.06 | 1473.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.46 | 12.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| league points | 75.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 31.41 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 262.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |