← EFL League One 2023-24 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Wycombe win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Wycombe +0.25 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.81 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 7' | ⚽ | Matt Butcher · Wycombe |
| 28' | ⚽ | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 30' | 🟨 | Ryan Tafazolli · Wycombe |
| 57' | 🟨 | Will Norris · Portsmouth |
| 60' | 🟨 | Owen Moxon · Portsmouth |
| 67' | ⚽ | Christian Saydee · Portsmouth |
| 87' | 🟨 | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 88' | 🟨 | Freddie Potts · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 422.00 | 453.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1487.66 | 1612.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.52 | 16.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| league points | 50.00 | 83.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.31 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.73 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |