← EFL League One 2023-24 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 77% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.50 |
| Carlisle win | 8% | 12.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −1.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Carlisle −1.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.40 |
| Under | 32% | 3.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Jack Ellis · Carlisle |
| 27' | ⚽ | Jon Mellish · Carlisle |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jon Mellish · Carlisle |
| 49' | ⚽ | Jon Mellish · Carlisle |
| 58' | ⚽ | Jon Mellish · Carlisle |
| 61' | ⚽ | Joel Randall · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 453.00 | 787.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1580.91 | 1275.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.86 | -21.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| league points | 71.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 0.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.66 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.62 | -1.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.33 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |