← EFL League One 2023-24 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Brook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Leyton Orient win | 26% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Leyton Orient −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Reeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln |
| 55' | 🟨 | Max Sanders · Leyton Orient |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jordan Brown · Leyton Orient |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ruel Sotiriou · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jovon Makama · Lincoln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lincoln | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | LNER Stadium |
| coach days | 149.00 | 759.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 5.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1546.29 | 1484.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 55.22 | -7.29 |
| eye test v1 | 1.00 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.88 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.74 |
| league points | 61.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.12 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | 1.37 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.33 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |